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NBA Preview: Wizards

By Marty Gitlin
WagerWeb.com Contributing Writer

Message to the Washington Wizards: There's an element in the game of basketball called "defense." It's quite important. You would be well-served to learn how to play it.

All that opponents were missing last season was the red carpet down the lane. Despite the offensive brilliance of Gilbert Arenas and talented supporting cast including Caron Butler and Antawn Jamison, the Wizards lost in the first round of the 2006 playoffs. The trio averaged a combined 70 points a game, but they went home prematurely.

Why? Because they simply couldn't stop the Cavaliers. LeBron James simply waltzed the baseline to beat them at the buzzer in one of the defeats.

Don't bet your house that Washington will advance further this year. The team simply didn't address its defensive shortcomings in the off season.

Key Additions: G DeShawn Stevenson, F Darius Songaila

Key Subtractions: F Jared Jeffries

Player to watch: Arenas is not a player to watch because the Wizards don't know what they will get out of him. His talents have risen from mere all-star level to one of the most dangerous offensive players in the game. But Washington will only advance as far as its defense takes it. No, Arenas is a player to watch because he is some player to watch. His immense ability as a shooter and penetrator was evident in the playoffs as he matched James dribble for dribble and basket for basket. Take the "over" when he is on because the Wizards are likely to score 120 points that night and surrender just as many. Arenas can nail three off-balance 3-pointers in a row, then bury the dagger with a couple of quick drives to the basket for thunderous dunks.

Outlook: You can wager that the relative weakness outside the Miami Heat in the Southeast Division will allow the Wizards to snag second place and slide into the Eastern Conference playoffs again. But you can also bet that a lack of defense will keep them from advancing past the first round. Then again, defense is partly desire. They showed a propensity for intensity on the offensive end in the playoffs last year, but a distinct lack of the same defensively. If the Wizards raise that energy level on defense, perhaps they can compete for an Eastern Conference title. But it takes more than intensity, particularly in the middle. Washington was a sieve last season, greatly because it featured no defensive presence around the basket. Brendan Haywood boasts admirable offensive skills, but few were afraid to attack the hoop when he was manning the center position. That is not likely to change.

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